The UK Economy will be Reshaped by the End of EU Migration

The deadline for EU citizens living in the UK to apply for the right to remain expired last week. concern What happens if people don’t apply in a timely manner? The numbers used, on the other hand, are a more surprising story. By March, there had been 5.3 million applications from roughly 5 million people who had been classified as “solved” or “pre-resolved.” Every account has experienced a last-minute rush since then.

until 2019, according to the estimates of the Ministry of the Interior, There were only 3.5 million to 4.1 million persons who were qualified to apply for the scheme. Romanians and Bulgarians had submitted their applications. The latest government estimates put the numbers at 918,000 and 284,000 in March. They had 370,000 and 122,000 residents, respectively. Some applications are submitted by eligible family members or those who have relocated to the United Kingdom. Nonetheless, as economist Jonathan Portes points out, UK population and immigration projections have been “completely inadequate” since the mid-2010s.

Ironically, now that we’re facing life without it, we’re only learning how big of a burden European immigrants were for Britain. It could do worse than look at our food processing plants to see how the EU’s free-trade era affected different sectors of the economy.

The government has a new post-Brexit immigration system for the sector, which relies significantly on EU labor. Stop To the majority of low-wage immigration. The epidemic, on the other hand, accelerated the crisis by prompting many EU citizens to return home (No one knows how many). Employers in the meat processing industry, where EU employees make for more than 60% of the workforce, complain about a labor shortage.

Employers are frequently British. Please do not apply for these positions. However, a glance at the current classified advertising reveals why. A shift of 12 hours, Workers are encouraged to mix day and night shifts, which is common in food manufacturing and is sometimes referred to as a “4 on, 4 off” routine.

You don’t know how to manage such a long and changeable time-consuming job if you have to plan childcare ahead of time or if you have non-work activities. Even if you can, there isn’t a less taxing job with a more consistent shift that pays comparable income. Nonetheless, for certain groups of migrant workers who came without families and lived in communal housing, the labor of the food factory was bearable. That, according to Nick Allen, CEO of the British Meat Processors Association, is why the work has changed. Non-UK workers have influenced employment practices. Their primary motivation is to stay for three years, earn a lot of money, and then return home.

He also claims that his employment has evolved from a tiny slaughterhouse scattered across the country to a small set of large slaughterhouses in rural areas (because it is easy to bring animals there). According to Allen, new employee pay is already increasing. “It was £ 18,000 two years ago, but today it’s £ 22,000 to promote entry-level positions. Employers in this sector are low-margin, high-volume businesses that are continuously under pressure from strong supermarkets, according to Eamon O’Hearn, National Officer of GMB Union. There is, according to the text. Meat from the United Kingdom is the cheapest in Western Europe.

Employers are lying when they claim that British people will never do these occupations. Still, it’s foolish to expect that simply raising wages and cutting profits will solve their issues quickly. Everything from work rhythms, safety, and location to familiar store prices has been influenced by the age of free movement in this area.

EU workers have had a significant impact on the United Kingdom. If they don’t return, the UK will have to learn to live without them.

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