It would probably influence most people’s judgement of a politician, if the person did not
believe in gravity, photosynthesis or the link between smoking and lung cancer.
Nevertheless, there are still politicians who are lagging dangerously far behind what ought be
regarded as certain knowledge. A few examples are the UK Independence Party (UKIP), The
Danish Peoples Party and the Polish Law and Justice Party’s refusal of accepting even the most basic climate-related scientific insights.
The conventional explanation from these parties usually goes something like this: “Global warming does not exist and if it does, then humans are not the cause, but if we are the cause, then it will only have a minimal impact and warming could even be good for us.
” Despite the certainty regarding mankind’s role as the primary cause of climate change has only increased as the amount of evidence has grown – as expressed in the reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) – several politicians stubbornly reject the overwhelming data and continue the so-called “debate” over global warming. Completely disregarding the fact that the fundamentals are even not debated within the scientific community.
Sound opinions are based on sound data
Recently, Scientific American compared the last 22 years of predictions from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change with weather data from the same period.
The conclusion was clear. The IPCC predictions had been conservative and cautious, and a large number of predictions had been surpassed by reality and increased global warming.
For example, in 2007, the IPCC report predicted that the Arctic would be ice-free in summer no sooner than by 2070. However, due to the Arctic ice mass is shrinking much faster than anyone expected, researchers now estimate that it may already be ice-free within the next 20 years. Sea rise is another example. The 2001 report projected that the annual sea level rise would be less than 2 millimetres per year, but from 1993 to 2006, the oceans actually rose by 3.3 millimetres per year – 50% more than forecasted. The list could go on, but the main point is clear back: