Portugal leads the European Union in covid-19 vaccination, but the number of infections has increased, a scenario that researcher Miguel Castanho says could have an impact in the autumn when the virus will have “optimal conditions” for propagation.
“In the autumn, the optimal conditions for the propagation of respiratory viruses return. If we do not complete the vaccination plan and or do not bring the incidence down a lot by then, we will hardly have a favorable evolution in the coming months”, according to the researcher from the Instituto de Medicina Molecular.
If Portugal leads the European Union in terms of the percentage of people who have received at least one dose of covid-19 vaccine (82.05 percent), new data from the statistical site Our World on Data shows that the country is also in the top ten – sixth out of 27 – in terms of the daily average of cases in the last seven days per million inhabitants (228,34).
Only Ireland (374.4), Cyprus (350.71), Greece (313.74), France (309.42), and Estonia are ahead of Portugal on this indicator (230.14).
According to the most recent national data, Portugal has 72 percent of the population fully vaccinated and 80 percent with at least one dose of covid-19 vaccine, but it also has a national incidence rate of illnesses of 312, 8 in the last 14 days.
According to a researcher at the Institute of Molecular Medicine of the Faculty of Medicine of the University of Lisbon, approximately 30% of the population over the age of 16 is still unvaccinated, with a large percentage of children and young people in the same boat.
In total, around 40% to 50% of the population in Portugal will be unvaccinated or not fully vaccinated. These 40 percent to 50 percent of the population represent a sizable population fraction capable of prolonging the virus’s replication, particularly in the current setting, where the virus is abundant and many individuals come into contact with it.
According to the newest statistics from the National Institute of Health Doctor Ricardo Jorge (INSA), one of the reasons for the high prevalence of cases is the Delta form, which is responsible for 100 percent of SARS-CoV-2 infections in the country.
This variant has made the situation much worse because it is well known that one vaccination dosage gives very little protection and that vaccine efficiency drops by 13% even in fully vaccinated people when compared to the UK variant.